What Will South America's Growing Season Look Like?
November 19, 2020
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Technical Review
On December 3rd at 10am ET we will be hosting a technical review that dives deeper into Gro’s Brazil and Argentina Yield Models, including how we built the models and model features, model performance as backtested, and the use of crop masks. We will also look at an analysis of how different yield scenarios in South America will impact global balance sheets and prices.
In a year when China’s appetite for feed grain is disrupting corn and soybean balance sheets worldwide and drought brought on by La Niña is hurting yields across the region, South America’s growing season bears watching closely. The region’s importance to global supplies was underlined in the USDA’s November WASDE report, which nearly doubled the estimate for Chinese corn imports in the upcoming year.
The threat of drought and dry conditions and the impact on production forecasts
How La Niña is affecting Argentina's and Brazil's newly planted corn crops
The links between China's rebounding hog herd and feed demand, and corn and soybean yields in South America
Speakers
Jonathan Haines
Senior Research Analyst
Jon has been working in agricultural commodities trading and research for the past 14 years, covering both grains and softs. Before joining Gro, he served as a portfolio manager at Jamison Capital Partners where he was responsible for the firm’s agriculture trading strategy. He holds a B.S. in Chemical Engineering from Cornell University and is a CFA charterholder.
Yiqing Cai
Senior Data Scientist
Yiqing has been a data scientist at Gro for five years, developing agricultural models using machine-learning techniques. Before joining Gro, Yiqing was a postdoctoral Fellow at the Institute for Mathematics and its Applications at the University of Minnesota. Yiqing holds a B.S. in Mathematics from University of Science and Technology of China, and a Ph.D. in Applied Mathematics and Computational Science from University of Pennsylvania.
