Brazil Soybean Export Forecast Model

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Gro’s Brazil Soybean Export Forecast Model produces a daily estimate for Brazilian soybean exports before the start of the marketing year and throughout the season.  Brazil is the world’s largest soybean producer and exporter, eclipsing the US for this distinction in 2013. Because nearly 70% of Brazil’s crop is exported, Brazil soybean production, exports, and crush can significantly affect global purchasing decisions and trade flows.   

Our Brazil soybean export forecast model produces a daily export estimate that market participants can use to guide sourcing and planning decisions pre-season, in-season, and at the end of the growing season. 

The insights generated by Gro’s Brazil Soybean Export Forecast Model can inform agribusiness and sovereign food sourcing planning strategies, as well as shipping companies’ contracting and fleet positioning plans. 

Customers use this model to

  • Get a baseline pre-season soybean export forecast 
  • Track how yield forecasts are impacting export projections each day 
  • Assess the impact of weather and climate events on Brazil’s soybean crop 
  • Anticipate Brazil’s export capacity and flow to make informed sourcing and shipping decisions 

Why It Matters

Brazil, which produces over 130 million tonnes of soybeans annually, is the largest exporter of soybeans globally. As such, its exports drive trade flows and influence other major exporters’ production and export calculations.

Ultimately, our Brazil Soybean Export Forecast Model will be added to an automated Gro Brazil soybean supply and demand balance sheet tool that will provide Gro users with a daily stocks-to-use and ending stocks forecast. 

Related Resources

Gro Brazil Soybean Export Forecast Model Display
Brazil Soybean Monitor Display
Futures Spread App

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